2024 Season, Thursday NFL Football
Thursday Football for the 2024-2025 season
Games with an asterisk* are investment games
13, Packers at Lions
Greg's Thursday night prop is for QB Jordan Love to toss over 1.5 touchdown passes @ -125.
12, Dolphins at Packers* -3
Click onto this link for this week's podcast:
https://open.spotify.com/episode/4QfoqbCPwt7Do0GDqpimUX
Winner with the Pachers -3.
#11, 11/21/24, Steelers at Browns
- In their first six games with Justin Fields under center wide receiver George Pickins had 363 combined receiving yards, (an average of 60.5 yards per game.) Russell Wilson has started the last four games for Pittsburgh and Pickens had 365 receiving yards with game totals of 111, 74, 91 and 89 yards for an average of (91.25 yards per game.) The Browns have allowed an average of 211 passing yards per game and in their last three games that average has ballooned up to 256 yards.
- Tonight's Prop investment is for George Pickins to have OVER 56.5 receiving yards* at -110.
#10, 11/14/24, Commanders at Eagles
NFL Thursday home favorites are 17-03-01 to the OVER. Tonight's total is 49, (26-28,) lost
#09, 10/31/24, Texans at Jets, (8:15 ET)
Greg has an opinion on the Texans and Jets to stay under 42.5 points, (21-13,) WON.
#08, 10/24/24, posted on the 24th.
PASS
#07, 10/17/24, Broncos at Saints, (8:15 ET)
Greg has an opinion on the Broncos at -2.5 points. He also made a beer and pizza prop wager on Courtland Sutton to have an anytime touchdown @ +187.
Greg's two opinions split at 1-1.
#06, 10/10/24, 49ers at Seahawks
Brock Purdy has 5 touchdown passes and no picks in the first half vs. one touchdown pass and 4 interceptions in the second half.
Greg has a top opinion on the 49ers at -2.5 points in the first half, (13-03,) WON
#05, 10/03/24, Buccaneers at Falcons*
Tampa Bay's defense is allowing 132 rush YPG (5.0 YPC,) plus the Bucs' pass defense is allowing 65% completion on the season.
Greg's on the Falcons* @ -130 on the M/L, (36-30,) WON.
#04, 09/26/24, Cowboys at Giants
The Cowboys are 25-04 ATS as a division favorite of two or more points, including 15-01 ATS vs. sub .444 foes.
#03,09/19/24, Patriots at Jets*
Play against a team when off an overtime game, (Patriots,) when playing their next game with four or less days of rest.
This system is 23-03 = 88% ATS since 2002. Take the Jets -6 @ -105, (24-03, WON
#02, 09/12/24, Bills at Dolphins,
Even though it's a night game this divisional match-up will be played in the humidity of Miami. The strength of the Bills' defense last season was the team's stellar secondary, especially their play at safety. Buffalo starts two new safeties and a middle linebacker.
Last week Tua finished with over 300 passing yards passing and with Hill and Waddle available, it could be a long night for Buffalo's newest additions on defense.
Bills QB Allen comes into this game with a hand injury and he does have a tendency to fumble,
Angles
Tua Tagovailoa is 18-09 ATS at home including 12-3 ATS when coming off a win.
The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
Miami is also 7-0 ATS at home when laying single digits as well as 8-2 ATS at home and off a home game.
My BONUS comp for week two is on the Dolphins @ -128 on the M/L. lost (10-31.)
#01, 09/05/24, Ravens at Chiefs*
Lamar Jackson has struggled against the Chiefs' defensive schemes as he's been sacked 10 times in four games against them, while averaging only one touchdown. In last seasons playoff game the Ravens gained 5.9 yards per snap to the Chiefs' 4.4 but the time of possession strongly favored Kansas City, (37.5 minutes,) vs. (22.5.) I trust Mahomes more than Jackson and in last years game the Ravens turned the ball over three times vs. none for the Chiefs.
My investment for week one s on the Chiefs -2.5 @ -120. (27-20.) WON
